Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: https://oa.tib.eu/renate/handle/123456789/5298
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dc.rights.licenseCC BY 3.0 Unportedeng
dc.contributor.authorLangerwisch, F.-
dc.contributor.authorRost, S.-
dc.contributor.authorGerten, D.-
dc.contributor.authorPoulter, B.-
dc.contributor.authorRammig, A.-
dc.contributor.authorCramer, W.-
dc.date.accessioned2020-08-01T15:36:13Z-
dc.date.available2020-08-01T15:36:13Z-
dc.date.issued2013-
dc.identifier.urihttp://dx.doi.org/10.34657/3927-
dc.identifier.urihttps://oa.tib.eu/renate/handle/123456789/5298
dc.description.abstractFloodplain forests, namely the Várzea and Igapó, cover an area of more than 97 000 km2. A key factor for their function and diversity is annual flooding. Increasing air temperature and higher precipitation variability caused by climate change are expected to shift the flooding regime during this century, and thereby impact floodplain ecosystems, their biodiversity and riverine ecosystem services. To assess the effects of climate change on the flooding regime, we use the Dynamic Global Vegetation and Hydrology Model LPJmL, enhanced by a scheme that realistically simulates monthly flooded area. Simulation results of discharge and inundation under contemporary conditions compare well against site-level measurements and observations. The changes of calculated inundation duration and area under climate change projections from 24 IPCC AR4 climate models differ regionally towards the end of the 21st century. In all, 70% of the 24 climate projections agree on an increase of flooded area in about one third of the basin. Inundation duration increases dramatically by on average three months in western and around one month in eastern Amazonia. The time of high- and low-water peak shifts by up to three months. Additionally, we find a decrease in the number of extremely dry years and in the probability of the occurrence of three consecutive extremely dry years. The total number of extremely wet years does not change drastically but the probability of three consecutive extremely wet years decreases by up to 30% in the east and increases by up to 25% in the west. These changes implicate significant shifts in regional vegetation and climate, and will dramatically alter carbon and water cycles.eng
dc.language.isoengeng
dc.publisherChichester : John Wiley and Sons Ltdeng
dc.relation.ispartofseriesHydrology and Earth System Sciences 17 (2013), Nr. 6eng
dc.rights.urihttps://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/eng
dc.subjectAnnual floodingeng
dc.subjectClimate change projectionseng
dc.subjectClimate projectioneng
dc.subjectFloodplain foresteng
dc.subjectHydrology modelingeng
dc.subjectPotential effectseng
dc.subjectPrecipitation variabilityeng
dc.subjectRiverine ecosystemseng
dc.subjectBanks (bodies of water)eng
dc.subjectBiodiversityeng
dc.subjectClimate changeeng
dc.subjectEcosystemseng
dc.subjectHydrogeologyeng
dc.subjectPrecipitation (meteorology)eng
dc.subjectVegetationeng
dc.subjectFloodseng
dc.subjectair temperatureeng
dc.subjectbiodiversityeng
dc.subjectclimate changeeng
dc.subjectecosystem serviceeng
dc.subjectfloodingeng
dc.subjectfloodplaineng
dc.subjecthydrological modelingeng
dc.subjectprecipitation (chemistry)eng
dc.subjectprobabilityeng
dc.subjectsimulationeng
dc.subjectvegetationeng
dc.subjectAmazon Basineng
dc.subjectAmazoniaeng
dc.subject.ddc550eng
dc.titlePotential effects of climate change on inundation patterns in the Amazon Basineng
dc.typearticleeng
dc.typeTexteng
dc.description.versionpublishedVersioneng
wgl.contributorPIKeng
wgl.subjectUmweltwissenschafteneng
wgl.typeZeitschriftenartikeleng
dc.bibliographicCitation.firstPage2247eng
dc.bibliographicCitation.volume17eng
dc.bibliographicCitation.issue6eng
dc.relation.doihttps://doi.org/10.5194/hess-17-2247-2013-
dc.relation.issn1027-5606-
dcterms.bibliographicCitation.journalTitleHydrology and Earth System Scienceseng
tib.accessRightsopenAccesseng
Appears in Collections:Umweltwissenschaften

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Langerwisch, F., S. Rost, D. Gerten, B. Poulter, A. Rammig and W. Cramer, 2013. Potential effects of climate change on inundation patterns in the Amazon Basin. 2013. Chichester : John Wiley and Sons Ltd
Langerwisch, F., Rost, S., Gerten, D., Poulter, B., Rammig, A. and Cramer, W. (2013) “Potential effects of climate change on inundation patterns in the Amazon Basin.” Chichester : John Wiley and Sons Ltd. doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-17-2247-2013.
Langerwisch F, Rost S, Gerten D, Poulter B, Rammig A, Cramer W. Potential effects of climate change on inundation patterns in the Amazon Basin. Vol. 17. Chichester : John Wiley and Sons Ltd; 2013.
Langerwisch, F., Rost, S., Gerten, D., Poulter, B., Rammig, A., & Cramer, W. (2013). Potential effects of climate change on inundation patterns in the Amazon Basin (Version publishedVersion, Vol. 17). Version publishedVersion, Vol. 17. Chichester : John Wiley and Sons Ltd. https://doi.org/https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-17-2247-2013
Langerwisch F, Rost S, Gerten D, Poulter B, Rammig A, Cramer W. Potential effects of climate change on inundation patterns in the Amazon Basin. 2013;17(6). doi:https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-17-2247-2013


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