Contrasting and interacting changes in simulated spring and summer carbon cycle extremes in European ecosystems

dc.bibliographicCitation.issue7eng
dc.bibliographicCitation.volume12
dc.contributor.authorSippel, Sebastian
dc.contributor.authorForkel, Matthias
dc.contributor.authorRammig, Anja
dc.contributor.authorThonicke, Kirsten
dc.contributor.authorFlach, Milan
dc.contributor.authorHeimann, Martin
dc.contributor.authorOtto, Friederike E.L.
dc.contributor.authorReichstein, Markus
dc.contributor.authorMahecha, Miguel D.
dc.date.accessioned2018-11-07T02:04:07Z
dc.date.available2019-06-28T10:34:37Z
dc.date.issued2017
dc.description.abstractClimate extremes have the potential to cause extreme responses of terrestrial ecosystem functioning. However, it is neither straightforward to quantify and predict extreme ecosystem responses, nor to attribute these responses to specific climate drivers. Here, we construct a factorial experiment based on a large ensemble of process-oriented ecosystem model simulations driven by a regional climate model (12 500 model years in 1985–2010) in six European regions. Our aims are to (1) attribute changes in the intensity and frequency of simulated ecosystem productivity extremes (EPEs) to recent changes in climate extremes, CO2 concentration, and land use, and to (2) assess the effect of timing and seasonal interaction on the intensity of EPEs. Evaluating the ensemble simulations reveals that (1) recent trends in EPEs are seasonally contrasting: spring EPEs show consistent trends towards increased carbon uptake, while trends in summer EPEs are predominantly negative in net ecosystem productivity (i.e. higher net carbon release under drought and heat in summer) and close-to-neutral in gross productivity. While changes in climate and its extremes (mainly warming) and changes in CO2 increase spring productivity, changes in climate extremes decrease summer productivity neutralizing positive effects of CO2. Furthermore, we find that (2) drought or heat wave induced carbon losses in summer (i.e. negative EPEs) can be partly compensated by a higher uptake in the preceding spring in temperate regions. Conversely, however, carry-over effects from spring to summer that arise from depleted soil moisture exacerbate the carbon losses caused by climate extremes in summer, and are thus undoing spring compensatory effects. While the spring-compensation effect is increasing over time, the carry-over effect shows no trend between 1985–2010. The ensemble ecosystem model simulations provide a process-based interpretation and generalization for spring-summer interacting carbon cycle effects caused by climate extremes (i.e. compensatory and carry-over effects). In summary, the ensemble ecosystem modelling approach presented in this paper offers a novel route to scrutinize ecosystem responses to changing climate extremes in a probabilistic framework, and to pinpoint the underlying eco-physiological mechanisms.eng
dc.description.versionpublishedVersioneng
dc.formatapplication/pdf
dc.formatapplication/pdf
dc.identifier.urihttps://doi.org/10.34657/199
dc.identifier.urihttps://oa.tib.eu/renate/handle/123456789/3741
dc.language.isoengeng
dc.publisherBristol : IOP Publishingeng
dc.relation.doihttps://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/aa7398
dc.relation.ispartofseriesEnvironmental Research Letters, Volume 12, Issue 7eng
dc.rights.licenseCC BY 3.0 Unportedeng
dc.rights.urihttps://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/eng
dc.subjectBiogeoscienceseng
dc.subjectcarbon cycle extremeseng
dc.subjectclimate changeeng
dc.subjectclimate extremeseng
dc.subjectensemble modellingeng
dc.subjectvegetation modellingeng
dc.subject.ddc500eng
dc.titleContrasting and interacting changes in simulated spring and summer carbon cycle extremes in European ecosystemseng
dc.typearticleeng
dc.typeTexteng
dcterms.bibliographicCitation.journalTitleEnvironmental Research Letterseng
tib.accessRightsopenAccesseng
wgl.contributorPIKeng
wgl.subjectUmweltwissenschafteneng
wgl.typeZeitschriftenartikeleng
Files
Original bundle
Now showing 1 - 2 of 2
Loading...
Thumbnail Image
Name:
ERL_12_7_075006_suppdata.pdf
Size:
5.81 MB
Format:
Adobe Portable Document Format
Description:
Loading...
Thumbnail Image
Name:
Sippel_2017_Environ._Res._Lett._12_075006.pdf
Size:
1.96 MB
Format:
Adobe Portable Document Format
Description: