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Uncertainty quantification for the family-wise error rate in multivariate copula models

2013, Stange, Jens, Bodnar, Taras, Dickhaus, Thorsten

We derive confidence regions for the realized family-wise error rate (FWER) of certain multiple tests which are empirically calibrated at a given (global) level of significance. To this end, we regard the FWER as a derived parameter of a multivariate parametric copula model. It turns out that the resulting onfidence regions are typically very much concentrated around the target FWER level, while generic multiple tests with fixed thresholds are in general not FWER-exhausting. Since FWER level exhaustion and optimization of power are equivalent for the classes of multiple test problems studied in this paper, the aforementioned findings militate strongly in favour of estimating the dependency structure (i. e., copula) and incorporating it in a multivariate multiple test procedure. We illustrate our theoretical results by considering two particular classes of multiple test problems of practical relevance in detail, namely, multiple tests for components of a mean vector and multiple support tests.

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On the Simes inequality in elliptical models

2014, Bodnar, Taras, Dickhaus, Thorsten

We provide necessary and sufficient conditions for the validity of the inequality of Simes (1986) in models with elliptical dependencies. Necessary conditions are presented in terms of sufficient conditions for the reverse Simes inequality. One application of our main results concerns the problem of model misspecification, in particular the case that the assumption of Gaussianity of test statistics is violated. Since our sufficient conditions require nonnegativity of correlation coefficients between test statistics, we also develop exact tests for vectors of correlation coefficients.