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- ItemEffective CO2 lifetime and future CO2 levels based on fit function(Göttingen : Copernicus, 2013) Sonnemann, G.R.; Grygalashvyly, M.The estimated global CO2 emission rates and the measured atmospheric CO2 concentrations show that only a certain share of the emitted CO2 accumulates in the atmosphere. For given atmospheric emissions of CO2, the effective lifetime determines its accumulation in the atmosphere and, consequently, its impact on the future global warming. We found that on average the inferred effective lifetime of CO2 decreases as its atmospheric concentration increases, reducing the rate of its accumulation in the atmosphere. We derived a power function that fits the varying lifetimes. Based on this fitting function, we calculated the increase of CO2 for different scenarios of future global emission rates.
- ItemGlobal annual methane emission rate derived from its current atmospheric mixing ratio and estimated lifetime(Göttingen : Copernicus, 2014) Sonnemann, G.R.; Grygalashvyly, M.We use the estimated lifetime of methane (CH4), the current methane concentration, and its annual growth rate to calculate the global methane emission rate. The upper and lower limits of the annual global methane emission rate, depending on loss of CH4 into the stratosphere and methane consuming bacteria, amounts to 648.0 Mt a-1 and 608.0 Mt a-1. These values are in reasonable agreement with satellite and with much more accurate in situ measurements of methane. We estimate a mean tropospheric and mass-weighted temperature related to the reaction rate and employ a mean OH-concentration to calculate a mean methane lifetime. The estimated atmospheric lifetime of methane amounts to 8.28 years and 8.84 years, respectively. In order to improve the analysis a realistic 3D-calculations should be performed.