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A turnpike property for optimal control problems with dynamic probabilistic constraints
2022, Gugat, Martin, Heitsch, Holger, Henrion, René
In this paper we consider systems that are governed by linear time-discrete dynamics with an initial condition, additive random perturbations in each step and a terminal condition for the expected values. We study optimal control problems where the objective function consists of a term of tracking type for the expected values and a control cost. In addition, the feasible states have to satisfy a conservative probabilistic constraint that requires that the probability that the trajectories remain in a given set F is greater than or equal to a given lower bound. An application are optimal control problems related to storage management systems with uncertain in- and output. We give sufficient conditions that imply that the optimal expected trajectories remain close to a certain state that can be characterized as the solution of an optimal control problem without prescribed initial- and terminal condition. In this way we contribute to the study of the turnpike phenomenon that is well-known in mathematical economics and make a step towards the extension of the turnpike theory to problems with probabilistic constraints.
Optimal Neumann boundary control of a vibrating string with uncertain initial data and probabilistic terminal constraints
2019, Farshbaf Shaker, Mohammad Hassan, Gugat, Martin, Heitsch, Holger, Henrion, René
In optimal control problems, often initial data are required that are not known exactly in practice. In order to take into account this uncertainty, we consider optimal control problems for a system with an uncertain initial state. A finite terminal time is given. On account of the uncertainty of the initial state, it is not possible to prescribe an exact terminal state. Instead, we are looking for controls that steer the system into a given neighborhood of the desired terminal state with sufficiently high probability. This neighborhood is described in terms of an inequality for the terminal energy. The probabilistic constraint in the considered optimal control problem leads to optimal controls that are robust against the inevitable uncertainties of the initial state. We show the existence of such optimal controls. Numerical examples with optimal Neumann control of the wave equation are presented.
Joint model of probabilistic-robust (probust) constraints with application to gas network optimization
2018, Adelhütte, Dennis, Aßmann, Denis, Grandón, Tatiana González, Gugat, Martin, Heitsch, Holger, Henrion, René, Liers, Frauke, Nitsche, Sabrina, Schultz, Rüdiger, Stingl, Michael, Wintergerst, David
Optimization problems under uncertain conditions abound in many real-life applications. While solution approaches for probabilistic constraints are often developed in case the uncertainties can be assumed to follow a certain probability distribution, robust approaches are usually applied in case solutions are sought that are feasible for all realizations of uncertainties within some predefined uncertainty set. As many applications contain different types of uncertainties that require robust as well as probabilistic treatments, we introduce a class of joint probabilistic/robust constraints. Focusing on complex uncertain gas network optimization problems, we show the relevance of this class of problems for the task of maximizing free booked capacities in an algebraic model for a stationary gas network. We furthermore present approaches for finding their solution. Finally, we study the problem of controlling a transient system that is governed by the wave equation. The task consists in determining controls such that a certain robustness measure remains below some given upper bound with high probability.