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Author: Senf, Fabian × Subject: model evaluation ×

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    How organized is deep convection over Germany?
    (Weinheim [u.a.] : Wiley, 2019) Pscheidt, Ieda; Senf, Fabian; Heinze, Rieke; Deneke, Hartwig; Trömel, Silke; Hohenegger, Cathy
    Deep moist convection shows a tendency to organize into mesoscale structures. To be able to understand the potential effect of convective organization on the climate, one needs first to characterize organization. In this study, we systematically characterize the organizational state of convection over Germany based on two years of cloud-top observations derived from the Meteosat Second Generation satellite and of precipitation cores detected by the German C-band radar network. The organizational state of convection is characterized by commonly employed organization indices, which are mostly based on the object numbers, sizes and nearest-neighbour distances. According to the organization index Iorg, cloud tops and precipitation cores are found to be in an organized state for 69% and 92% of the time, respectively. There is an increase in rainfall when the number of objects and their sizes increase, independently of the organizational state. Case-studies of specific days suggest that convectively organized states correspond to either local multi-cell clusters, with less numerous, larger objects close to each other, or to scattered clusters, with more numerous, smaller organized objects spread out over the domain. For those days, simulations are performed with the large-eddy model ICON with grid spacings of 625, 312 and 156 m. Although the model underestimates rainfall and shows a too large cold cloud coverage, the organizational state is reasonably well represented without significant differences between the grid spacings.
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    Metrics for the evaluation of warm convective cloud fields in a large-eddy simulation with Meteosat images
    (Weinheim [u.a.] : Wiley, 2017) Bley, Sebastian; Deneke, Hartwig; Senf, Fabian; Scheck, Leonhard
    The representation of warm convective clouds in atmospheric models and satellite observations can considerably deviate from each other partly due to different spatial resolutions. This study aims to establish appropriate metrics to evaluate high-resolution simulations of convective clouds by the ICON Large-Eddy Model (ICON-LEM) with observations from Meteosat SEVIRI over Germany. The time series and frequency distributions of convective cloud fraction and liquid water path (LWP) are analyzed. Furthermore, the study focuses on size distributions and decorrelation scales of warm convective cloud fields. The investigated metrics possess a pronounced sensitivity to the apparent spatial resolution. At the fine spatial scale, the simulations show higher occurrence frequencies of large LWP values and a factor of two to four smaller convective cloud fractions. Coarse-graining of simulated fields to the optical resolution of Meteosat essentially removes the differences between the observed and simulated metrics. The distribution of simulated cloud sizes compares well with the observations and can be represented by a power law, with a moderate resolution sensitivity. A lower limit of cloud sizes is identified, which is 8–10 times the native grid resolution of the model. This likely marks the effective model resolution beyond which the scaling behaviour of considered metrics is not reliable, implying that a further increase in spatial resolution would be desirable to better resolve cloud processes below 1 km. It is finally shown that ICON-LEM is consistent with spatio-temporal decorrelation scales observed with Meteosat having values of 30 min and 7 km, if transferred to the true optical satellite resolution. However, the simulated Lagrangian decorrelation times drop to 10 min at 1 km resolution, a scale covered by the upcoming generation of geostationary satellites.