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Comparison of particle number size distribution trends in ground measurements and climate models

2022, Leinonen, Ville, Kokkola, Harri, Yli-Juuti, Taina, Mielonen, Tero, Kühn, Thomas, Nieminen, Tuomo, Heikkinen, Simo, Miinalainen, Tuuli, Bergman, Tommi, Carslaw, Ken, Decesari, Stefano, Fiebig, Markus, Hussein, Tareq, Kivekäs, Niku, Krejci, Radovan, Kulmala, Markku, Leskinen, Ari, Massling, Andreas, Mihalopoulos, Nikos, Mulcahy, Jane P., Noe, Steffen M., van Noije, Twan, O'Connor, Fiona M., O'Dowd, Colin, Olivie, Dirk, Pernov, Jakob B., Petäjä, Tuukka, Seland, Øyvind, Schulz, Michael, Scott, Catherine E., Skov, Henrik, Swietlicki, Erik, Tuch, Thomas, Wiedensohler, Alfred, Virtanen, Annele, Mikkonen, Santtu

Despite a large number of studies, out of all drivers of radiative forcing, the effect of aerosols has the largest uncertainty in global climate model radiative forcing estimates. There have been studies of aerosol optical properties in climate models, but the effects of particle number size distribution need a more thorough inspection. We investigated the trends and seasonality of particle number concentrations in nucleation, Aitken, and accumulation modes at 21 measurement sites in Europe and the Arctic. For 13 of those sites, with longer measurement time series, we compared the field observations with the results from five climate models, namely EC-Earth3, ECHAM-M7, ECHAM-SALSA, NorESM1.2, and UKESM1. This is the first extensive comparison of detailed aerosol size distribution trends between in situ observations from Europe and five earth system models (ESMs). We found that the trends of particle number concentrations were mostly consistent and decreasing in both measurements and models. However, for many sites, climate models showed weaker decreasing trends than the measurements. Seasonal variability in measured number concentrations, quantified by the ratio between maximum and minimum monthly number concentration, was typically stronger at northern measurement sites compared to other locations. Models had large differences in their seasonal representation, and they can be roughly divided into two categories: for EC-Earth and NorESM, the seasonal cycle was relatively similar for all sites, and for other models the pattern of seasonality varied between northern and southern sites. In addition, the variability in concentrations across sites varied between models, some having relatively similar concentrations for all sites, whereas others showed clear differences in concentrations between remote and urban sites. To conclude, although all of the model simulations had identical input data to describe anthropogenic mass emissions, trends in differently sized particles vary among the models due to assumptions in emission sizes and differences in how models treat size-dependent aerosol processes. The inter-model variability was largest in the accumulation mode, i.e. sizes which have implications for aerosol-cloud interactions. Our analysis also indicates that between models there is a large variation in efficiency of long-range transportation of aerosols to remote locations. The differences in model results are most likely due to the more complex effect of different processes instead of one specific feature (e.g. the representation of aerosol or emission size distributions). Hence, a more detailed characterization of microphysical processes and deposition processes affecting the long-range transport is needed to understand the model variability.

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Collocated observations of cloud condensation nuclei, particle size distributions, and chemical composition

2017, Schmale, Julia, Henning, Silvia, Henzing, Bas, Keskinen, Helmi, Sellegri, Karine, Ovadnevaite, Jurgita, Bougiatioti, Aikaterini, Kalivitis, Nikos, Stavroulas, Iasonas, Jefferson, Anne, Park, Minsu, Schlag, Patrick, Kristensson, Adam, Iwamoto, Yoko, Pringle, Kirsty, Reddington, Carly, Aalto, Pasi, Äijälä, Mikko, Baltensperger, Urs, Bialek, Jakub, Birmili, Wolfram, Bukowiecki, Nicolas, Ehn, Mikael, Fjæraa, Ann Mari, Fiebig, Markus, Frank, Göran, Fröhlich, Roman, Frumau, Arnoud, Furuya, Masaki, Hammer, Emanuel, Heikkinen, Liine, Herrmann, Erik, Holzinger, Rupert, Hyono, Hiroyuki, Kanakidou, Maria, Kiendler-Scharr, Astrid, Kinouchi, Kento, Kos, Gerard, Kulmala, Markku, Mihalopoulos, Nikolaos, Motos, Ghislain, Nenes, Athanasios, O’Dowd, Colin, Paramonov, Mikhail, Petäjä, Tuukka, Picard, David, Poulain, Laurent, Prévôt, André Stephan Henry, Slowik, Jay, Sonntag, Andre, Swietlicki, Erik, Svenningsson, Birgitta, Tsurumaru, Hiroshi, Wiedensohler, Alfred, Wittbom, Cerina, Ogren, John A., Matsuki, Atsushi, Yum, Seong Soo, Myhre, Cathrine Lund, Carslaw, Ken, Stratmann, Frank, Gysel, Martin

Cloud condensation nuclei (CCN) number concentrations alongside with submicrometer particle number size distributions and particle chemical composition have been measured at atmospheric observatories of the Aerosols, Clouds, and Trace gases Research InfraStructure (ACTRIS) as well as other international sites over multiple years. Here, harmonized data records from 11 observatories are summarized, spanning 98,677 instrument hours for CCN data, 157,880 for particle number size distributions, and 70,817 for chemical composition data. The observatories represent nine different environments, e.g., Arctic, Atlantic, Pacific and Mediterranean maritime, boreal forest, or high alpine atmospheric conditions. This is a unique collection of aerosol particle properties most relevant for studying aerosol-cloud interactions which constitute the largest uncertainty in anthropogenic radiative forcing of the climate. The dataset is appropriate for comprehensive aerosol characterization (e.g., closure studies of CCN), model-measurement intercomparison and satellite retrieval method evaluation, among others. Data have been acquired and processed following international recommendations for quality assurance and have undergone multiple stages of quality assessment.

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Long-term cloud condensation nuclei number concentration, particle number size distribution and chemical composition measurements at regionally representative observatories

2018, Schmale, Julia, Henning, Silvia, Decesari, Stefano, Henzing, Bas, Keskinen, Helmi, Sellegri, Karine, Ovadnevaite, Jurgita, Pöhlker, Mira L., Brito, Joel, Bougiatioti, Aikaterini, Kristensson, Adam, Kalivitis, Nikos, Stavroulas, Iasonas, Carbone, Samara, Jefferson, Anne, Park, Minsu, Schlag, Patrick, Iwamoto, Yoko, Aalto, Pasi, Äijälä, Mikko, Bukowiecki, Nicolas, Ehn, Mikael, Frank, Göran, Fröhlich, Roman, Frumau, Arnoud, Herrmann, Erik, Herrmann, Hartmut, Holzinger, Rupert, Kos, Gerard, Kulmala, Markku, Mihalopoulos, Nikolaos, Nenes, Athanasios, O'Dowd, Colin, Petäjä, Tuukka, Picard, David, Pöhlker, Christopher, Pöschl, Ulrich, Poulain, Laurent, Prévôt, André Stephan Henry, Swietlicki, Erik, Andreae, Meinrat O., Artaxo, Paulo, Wiedensohler, Alfred, Ogren, John, Matsuki, Atsushi, Yum, Seong Soo, Stratmann, Frank, Baltensperger, Urs, Gysel, Martin

Aerosol-cloud interactions (ACI) constitute the single largest uncertainty in anthropogenic radiative forcing. To reduce the uncertainties and gain more confidence in the simulation of ACI, models need to be evaluated against observations, in particular against measurements of cloud condensation nuclei (CCN). Here we present a data set - ready to be used for model validation - of long-term observations of CCN number concentrations, particle number size distributions and chemical composition from 12 sites on 3 continents. Studied environments include coastal background, rural background, alpine sites, remote forests and an urban surrounding. Expectedly, CCN characteristics are highly variable across site categories. However, they also vary within them, most strongly in the coastal background group, where CCN number concentrations can vary by up to a factor of 30 within one season. In terms of particle activation behaviour, most continental stations exhibit very similar activation ratios (relative to particles 20nm) across the range of 0.1 to 1.0% supersaturation. At the coastal sites the transition from particles being CCN inactive to becoming CCN active occurs over a wider range of the supersaturation spectrum. Several stations show strong seasonal cycles of CCN number concentrations and particle number size distributions, e.g. at Barrow (Arctic haze in spring), at the alpine stations (stronger influence of polluted boundary layer air masses in summer), the rain forest (wet and dry season) or Finokalia (wildfire influence in autumn). The rural background and urban sites exhibit relatively little variability throughout the year, while short-term variability can be high especially at the urban site. The average hygroscopicity parameter, calculated from the chemical composition of submicron particles was highest at the coastal site of Mace Head (0.6) and lowest at the rain forest station ATTO (0.2-0.3). We performed closure studies based on -Köhler theory to predict CCN number concentrations. The ratio of predicted to measured CCN concentrations is between 0.87 and 1.4 for five different types of . The temporal variability is also well captured, with Pearson correlation coefficients exceeding 0.87. Information on CCN number concentrations at many locations is important to better characterise ACI and their radiative forcing. But long-term comprehensive aerosol particle characterisations are labour intensive and costly. Hence, we recommend operating migrating-CCNCs to conduct collocated CCN number concentration and particle number size distribution measurements at individual locations throughout one year at least to derive a seasonally resolved hygroscopicity parameter. This way, CCN number concentrations can only be calculated based on continued particle number size distribution information and greater spatial coverage of long-term measurements can be achieved.

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Multidecadal trend analysis of in situ aerosol radiative properties around the world

2020, Collaud Coen, Martine, Andrews, Elisabeth, Alastuey, Andrés, Petkov Arsov, Todor, Backman, John, Brem, Benjamin T., Bukowiecki, Nicolas, Couret, Cédric, Eleftheriadis, Konstantinos, Flentje, Harald, Fiebig, Markus, Gysel-Beer, Martin, Hand, Jenny L., Hoffer, András, Hooda, Rakesh, Hueglin, Christoph, Joubert, Warren, Keywood, Melita, Eun Kim, Jeong, Kim, Sang-Woo, Labuschagne, Casper, Lin, Neng-Huei, Lin, Yong, Lund Myhre, Cathrine, Luoma, Krista, Lyamani, Hassan, Marinoni, Angela, Mayol-Bracero, Olga L., Mihalopoulos, Nikos, Pandolfi, Marco, Prats, Natalia, Prenni, Anthony J., Putaud, Jean-Philippe, Ries, Ludwig, Reisen, Fabienne, Sellegri, Karine, Sharma, Sangeeta, Sheridan, Patrick, Sherman, James Patrick, Sun, Junying, Titos, Gloria, Torres, Elvis, Tuch, Thomas, Weller, Rolf, Wiedensohler, Alfred, Zieger, Paul, Laj, Paolo

In order to assess the evolution of aerosol parameters affecting climate change, a long-term trend analysis of aerosol optical properties was performed on time series from 52 stations situated across five continents. The time series of measured scattering, backscattering and absorption coefficients as well as the derived single scattering albedo, backscattering fraction, scattering and absorption Ångström exponents covered at least 10 years and up to 40 years for some stations. The non-parametric seasonal Mann-Kendall (MK) statistical test associated with several pre-whitening methods and with Sen's slope was used as the main trend analysis method. Comparisons with general least mean square associated with autoregressive bootstrap (GLS/ARB) and with standard least mean square analysis (LMS) enabled confirmation of the detected MK statistically significant trends and the assessment of advantages and limitations of each method. Currently, scattering and backscattering coefficient trends are mostly decreasing in Europe and North America and are not statistically significant in Asia, while polar stations exhibit a mix of increasing and decreasing trends. A few increasing trends are also found at some stations in North America and Australia. Absorption coefficient time series also exhibit primarily decreasing trends. For single scattering albedo, 52 % of the sites exhibit statistically significant positive trends, mostly in Asia, eastern/northern Europe and the Arctic, 22 % of sites exhibit statistically significant negative trends, mostly in central Europe and central North America, while the remaining 26 % of sites have trends which are not statistically significant. In addition to evaluating trends for the overall time series, the evolution of the trends in sequential 10-year segments was also analyzed. For scattering and backscattering, statistically significant increasing 10-year trends are primarily found for earlier periods (10-year trends ending in 2010-2015) for polar stations and Mauna Loa. For most of the stations, the present-day statistically significant decreasing 10-year trends of the single scattering albedo were preceded by not statistically significant and statistically significant increasing 10-year trends. The effect of air pollution abatement policies in continental North America is very obvious in the 10-year trends of the scattering coefficient - there is a shift to statistically significant negative trends in 2009-2012 for all stations in the eastern and central USA. This long-term trend analysis of aerosol radiative properties with a broad spatial coverage provides insight into potential aerosol effects on climate changes. © 2020 Royal Society of Chemistry. All rights reserved.