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End date: 2019 × Start date: 2019 × DDC: 004 × WGL Institute: PIK ×

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    Producing Policy-relevant Science by Enhancing Robustness and Model Integration for the Assessment of Global Environmental Change
    (Amsterdam [u.a.] : Elsevier Science, 2019) Warren, R.F.; Edwards, N.R.; Babonneau, F.; Bacon, P.M.; Dietrich, J.P.; Ford, R.W.; Garthwaite, P.; Gerten, D.; Goswami, S.; Haurie, A.; Hiscock, K.; Holden, P.B.; Hyde, M.R.; Joshi, S.R.; Kanudia, A.; Labriet, M.; Leimbach, M.; Oyebamiji, O.K.; Osborn, T.; Pizzileo, B.; Popp, A.; Price, J.; Riley, G.D.; Schaphoff, S.; Slavin, P.; Vielle, M.; Wallace, C.
    We use the flexible model coupling technology known as the bespoke framework generator to link established existing modules representing dynamics in the global economy (GEMINI_E3), the energy system (TIAM-WORLD), the global and regional climate system (MAGICC6, PLASIM-ENTS and ClimGEN), the agricultural system, the hydrological system and ecosystems (LPJmL), together in a single integrated assessment modelling (IAM) framework, building on the pre-existing framework of the Community Integrated Assessment System. Next, we demonstrate the application of the framework to produce policy-relevant scientific information. We use it to show that when using carbon price mechanisms to induce a transition from a high-carbon to a low-carbon economy, prices can be minimised if policy action is taken early, if burden sharing regimes are used, and if agriculture is intensified. Some of the coupled models have been made available for use at a secure and user-friendly web portal. © 2018 The Authors
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    Identifying Multiple Influential Users Based on the Overlapping Influence in Multiplex Networks
    (New York, NY : IEEE, 2019) Chen, Jianjun; Denk, Yue; Su, Zhen; Wang, Songxin; Gao, Chao; Li, Xianghua
    Online social networks (OSNs) are interaction platforms that can promote knowledge spreading, rumor propagation, and virus diffusion. Identifying influential users in OSNs is of great significance for accelerating the information propagation especially when information is able to travel across multiple channels. However, most previous studies are limited to a single network or select multiple influential users based on the centrality ranking result of each user, not addressing the overlapping influence (OI) among users. In practice, the collective influence of multiple users is not equal to the total sum of these users' influences. In this paper, we propose a novel OI-based method for identifying multiple influential users in multiplex social networks. We first define the effective spreading shortest path (ESSP) by utilizing the concept of spreading rate in order to denote the relative location of users. Then, the collective influence is quantified by taking the topological factor and the location distribution of users into account. The identified users based on our proposed method are central and relatively scattered with a low overlapping influence. With the Susceptible-Infected-Recovered (SIR) model, we estimate our proposed method with other benchmark algorithms. Experimental results in both synthetic and real-world networks verify that our proposed method has a better performance in terms of the spreading efficiency. © 2013 IEEE.
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    Lab::Measurement—A portable and extensible framework for controlling lab equipment and conducting measurements
    (Amsterdam : North Holland Publ. Co., 2019) Reinhardt, S.; Butschkow, C.; Geissler, S.; Dirnaichner, A.; Olbrich, F.; Lane, C.E.; Schröer, D.; Hüttel, A.K.
    Lab::Measurement is a framework for test and measurement automatization using Perl 5. While primarily developed with applications in mesoscopic physics in mind, it is widely adaptable. Internally, a layer model is implemented. Communication protocols such as IEEE 488 [1], USB Test & Measurement [2], or, e.g., VXI-11 [3] are addressed by the connection layer. The wide range of supported connection backends enables unique cross-platform portability. At the instrument layer, objects correspond to equipment connected to the measurement PC (e.g., voltage sources, magnet power supplies, multimeters, etc.). The high-level sweep layer automates the creation of measurement loops, with simultaneous plotting and data logging. An extensive unit testing framework is used to verify functionality even without connected equipment. Lab::Measurement is distributed as free and open source software. Program summary: Program Title: Lab::Measurement 3.660 Program Files doi: http://dx.doi.org/10.17632/d8rgrdc7tz.1 Program Homepage: https://www.labmeasurement.de Licensing provisions: GNU GPL v23 Programming language: Perl 5 Nature of problem: Flexible, lightweight, and operating system independent control of laboratory equipment connected by diverse means such as IEEE 488 [1], USB [2], or VXI-11 [3]. This includes running measurements with nested measurement loops where a data plot is continuously updated, as well as background processes for logging and control. Solution method: Object-oriented layer model based on Moose [4], abstracting the hardware access as well as the command sets of the addressed instruments. A high-level interface allows simple creation of measurement loops, live plotting via GnuPlot [5], and data logging into customizable folder structures. [1] F. M. Hess, D. Penkler, et al., LinuxGPIB. Support package for GPIB (IEEE 488) hardware, containing kernel driver modules and a C user-space library with language bindings. http://linux-gpib.sourceforge.net/ [2] USB Implementers Forum, Inc., Universal Serial Bus Test and Measurement Class Specification (USBTMC), revision 1.0 (2003). http://www.usb.org/developers/docs/devclass_docs/ [3] VXIbus Consortium, VMEbus Extensions for Instrumentation VXIbus TCP/IP Instrument Protocol Specification VXI-11 (1995). http://www.vxibus.org/files/VXI_Specs/VXI-11.zip [4] Moose—Apostmodern object system for Perl 5. http://moose.iinteractive.com [5] E. A. Merritt, et al., Gnuplot. An Interactive Plotting Program. http://www.gnuplot.info/ © 2018 The Author(s)
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    MAgPIE 4-a modular open-source framework for modeling global land systems
    (Göttingen : Copernicus GmbH, 2019) Dietrich, J.P.; Bodirsky, B.L.; Humpenöder, F.; Weindl, I.; Stevanović, M.; Karstens, K.; Kreidenweis, U.; Wang, X.; Mishra, A.; Klein, D.; Ambrósio, G.; Araujo, E.; Yalew, A.W.; Baumstark, L.; Wirth, S.; Giannousakis, A.; Beier, F.; Meng-Chuen, Chen, D.; Lotze-Campen, H.; Popp, A.
    The open-source modeling framework MAgPIE (Model of Agricultural Production and its Impact on the Environment) combines economic and biophysical approaches to simulate spatially explicit global scenarios of land use within the 21st century and the respective interactions with the environment. Besides various other projects, it was used to simulate marker scenarios of the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSPs) and contributed substantially to multiple IPCC assessments. However, with growing scope and detail, the non-linear model has become increasingly complex, computationally intensive and non-transparent, requiring structured approaches to improve the development and evaluation of the model. Here, we provide an overview on version 4 of MAgPIE and how it addresses these issues of increasing complexity using new technical features: modular structure with exchangeable module implementations, flexible spatial resolution, in-code documentation, automatized code checking, model/output evaluation and open accessibility. Application examples provide insights into model evaluation, modular flexibility and region-specific analysis approaches. While this paper is focused on the general framework as such, the publication is accompanied by a detailed model documentation describing contents and equations, and by model evaluation documents giving insights into model performance for a broad range of variables. With the open-source release of the MAgPIE 4 framework, we hope to contribute to more transparent, reproducible and collaborative research in the field. Due to its modularity and spatial flexibility, it should provide a basis for a broad range of land-related research with economic or biophysical, global or regional focus.
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    To what extent is climate change adaptation a novel challenge for agricultural modellers?
    (Amsterdam [u.a.] : Elsevier Science, 2019) Kipling, R.P.; Topp, C.F.E.; Bannink, A.; Bartley, D.J.; Blanco-Penedo, I.; Cortignani, R.; del Prado, A.; Dono, G.; Faverdin, P.; Graux, A.-I.; Hutchings, N.J.; Lauwers, L.; Özkan Gülzari, Ş.; Reidsma, P.; Rolinski, S.; Ruiz-Ramos, M.; Sandars, D.L.; Sándor, R.; Schönhart, M.; Seddaiu, G.; van Middelkoop, J.; Shrestha, S.; Weindl, I.; Schönhart, M.; Seddaiu, G.; van Middelkoop, J.; Shrestha, S.; Weindl, I.; Eory, V.
    Modelling is key to adapting agriculture to climate change (CC), facilitating evaluation of the impacts and efficacy of adaptation measures, and the design of optimal strategies. Although there are many challenges to modelling agricultural CC adaptation, it is unclear whether these are novel or, whether adaptation merely adds new motivations to old challenges. Here, qualitative analysis of modellers’ views revealed three categories of challenge: Content, Use, and Capacity. Triangulation of findings with reviews of agricultural modelling and Climate Change Risk Assessment was then used to highlight challenges specific to modelling adaptation. These were refined through literature review, focussing attention on how the progressive nature of CC affects the role and impact of modelling. Specific challenges identified were: Scope of adaptations modelled, Information on future adaptation, Collaboration to tackle novel challenges, Optimisation under progressive change with thresholds, and Responsibility given the sensitivity of future outcomes to initial choices under progressive change. © 2019 The Authors