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    Semitractability of optimal stopping problems via a weighted stochastic mesh algorithm
    (Oxford [u.a.] : Wiley-Blackwell, 2020) Belomestny, Denis; Kaledin, Maxim; Schoenmakers, John
    In this paper, we propose a Weighted Stochastic Mesh (WSM) algorithm for approximating the value of discrete- and continuous-time optimal stopping problems. In this context, we consider tractability of such problems via a useful notion of semitractability and the introduction of a tractability index for a particular numerical solution algorithm. It is shown that in the discrete-time case the WSM algorithm leads to semitractability of the corresponding optimal stopping problem in the sense that its complexity is bounded in order by (Formula presented.) with (Formula presented.) being the dimension of the underlying Markov chain. Furthermore, we study the WSM approach in the context of continuous-time optimal stopping problems and derive the corresponding complexity bounds. Although we cannot prove semitractability in this case, our bounds turn out to be the tightest ones among the complexity bounds known in the literature. We illustrate our theoretical findings by a numerical example. © 2020 Wiley Periodicals LLC
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    A regularity structure for rough volatility
    (Oxford [u.a.] : Wiley-Blackwell, 2019) Bayer, Christian; Friz, Peter K.; Gassiat, Paul; Martin, Jorg; Stemper, Benjamin
    A new paradigm has emerged recently in financial modeling: rough (stochastic) volatility. First observed by Gatheral et al. in high-frequency data, subsequently derived within market microstructure models, rough volatility captures parsimoniously key-stylized facts of the entire implied volatility surface, including extreme skews (as observed earlier by Alòs et al.) that were thought to be outside the scope of stochastic volatility models. On the mathematical side, Markovianity and, partially, semimartingality are lost. In this paper, we show that Hairer's regularity structures, a major extension of rough path theory, which caused a revolution in the field of stochastic partial differential equations, also provide a new and powerful tool to analyze rough volatility models.
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    Option pricing in the moderate deviations regime
    (Oxford [u.a.] : Wiley-Blackwell, 2017) Friz, Peter; Gerhold, Stefan; Pinter, Arpad
    We consider call option prices close to expiry in diffusion models, in an asymptotic regime (“moderately out of the money”) that interpolates between the well-studied cases of at-the-money and out-of-the-money regimes. First and higher order small-time moderate deviation estimates of call prices and implied volatilities are obtained. The expansions involve only simple expressions of the model parameters, and we show how to calculate them for generic local and stochastic volatility models. Some numerical computations for the Heston model illustrate the accuracy of our results.