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DDC: 550 × Subject: mitigation ×

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    Catalyzing mitigation ambition under the Paris Agreement: elements for an effective Global Stocktake
    (London [u.a.] : Taylor & Francis, 2019) Hermwille, Lukas; Siemons, Anne; Förster, Hannah; Jeffery, Louise
    The Global Stocktake (GST) takes a central role within the architecture of the Paris Agreement, with many hoping that it will become a catalyst for increased mitigation ambition. This paper outlines four governance functions for an ideal GST: pacemaker, ensurer of accountability, driver of ambition and provider of guidance and signal. The GST can set the pace of progress by stimulating and synchronizing policy processes across governance levels. It can ensure accountability of Parties through transparency and public information sharing. Ambition can be enhanced through benchmarks for action and transformative learning. By reiterating and refining the long term visions, it can echo and amplify the guidance and signal provided by the Paris Agreement. The paper further outlines preconditions for the effective performance of these functions. Process-related conditions include: a public appraisal of inputs; a facilitative format that can develop specific recommendations; high-level endorsement to amplify the message and effectively inform national climate policy agendas; and an appropriate schedule, especially with respect to the transparency framework. Underlying information provided by Parties complemented with other (scientific) sources needs to enable benchmark setting for collective climate action, to allow for transparent assessments of the state of emissions and progress of a low-carbon transformation. The information also needs to be politically relevant and concrete enough to trigger enhancement of ambition. We conclude that meeting these conditions would enable an ideal GST and maximize its catalytic effect. Key policy insights The functional argument developed in this article may inspire a purposeful design of the GST as its modalities and procedures are currently being negotiated. The analytical framework provided serves as a benchmark against which to assess the GST's modalities and procedures. Gaps and blind spots in the official GST can and should be addressed by processes external to the climate regime in academia and civil society. © 2019, © 2019 The Author(s). Published by Informa UK Limited, trading as Taylor & Francis Group.
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    Negative Emission Potential of Direct Air Capture Powered by Renewable Excess Electricity in Europe
    (Hoboken, NJ : Wiley-Blackwell, 2018) Wohland, Jan; Witthaut, Dirk; Schleussner, Carl-Friedrich
    The mitigation of climate change requires fast reductions in greenhouse gas emissions and calls for fundamental transitions of energy systems. In most places, the increased exploitation of variable renewable sources (wind and solar) forms the backbone of these transitions. To remain consistent with the Paris Agreement temperature goals, negative emission technologies will likely be needed to achieve net zero emissions in the second half of the century. In integrated assessment models, negative emissions are typically realized through land-based approaches. However, due to their coarse temporal and spatial resolution, such models might underestimate the potential of decentrally deployable and flexible technologies such as Direct Air Capture (DAC). Based on validated high-resolution power generation time series, we show that DAC can extract CO2 from the atmosphere and facilitate the integration of variable renewables at the same time. It is a promising flexibility provider as it can be ramped within minutes. Our results show that negative emissions of up to 500 Mt CO2/year in Europe may be achievable by using renewable excess energy only. Electricity systems with high shares of volatile renewables will induce excess generation events during which electricity is cheap thereby lowering the operational costs of DAC. If investment costs can be sufficiently reduced, this may render very energy intensive but highly flexible technologies such as DAC viable.
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    The effectiveness of climate clubs under Donald Trump
    (Abingdon : Taylor & Francis, 2017) Sprinz, Detlef F.; Sælen, Håkon; Underdal, Arild; Hovi, Jon
    On 1 June 2017, President Trump announced that the US intends to leave the Paris Agreement if no alternative terms acceptable to his administration can be agreed upon. In this article, an agent-based model of bottom-up climate mitigation clubs is used to derive the impact that lack of US participation may have on the membership of such clubs and their emissions coverage. We systematically analyse the prospects for climate mitigation clubs, depending on which of three conceivable roles the US takes on: as a leader (for benchmarking), as a follower (i.e. willing to join climate mitigation clubs initiated by others if this is in its best interest) or as an outsider (i.e. staying outside of any climate mitigation club no matter what). We investigate these prospects for three types of incentives for becoming a member: club goods, conditional commitments and side-payments. Our results show that lack of US leadership significantly constrains climate clubs’ potential. Lack of US willingness to follow others’ lead is an additional, but smaller constraint. Only in a few cases will US withdrawal entail widespread departures by other countries. We conclude that climate mitigation clubs can function without the participation of an important GHG emitter, given that other major emitters show leadership, although these clubs will rarely cover more than 50% of global emissions.