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Asymptotics for at the money local vol basket options
We consider a basket or spread option on based on a multi-dimensional local volatility model. Bayer and Laurence [Comm. Pure. Appl. Math., to appear] derived highly accurate analytic formulas for prices and implied volatilities of such options when the options are not at the money. We now extend these results to the ATM case. Moreover, we also derive similar formulas for the local volatility of the basket.
On the probability density function of baskets
The state price density of a basket, even under uncorrelated Black–Scholes dynamics, does not allow for a closed from density. (This may be rephrased as statement on the sum of lognormals and is especially annoying for such are used most frequently in Financial and Actuarial Mathematics.) In this note we discuss short time and small volatility expansions, respectively. The method works for general multi-factor models with correlations and leads to the analysis of a system of ordinary (Hamiltonian) differential equations. Surprisingly perhaps, even in two asset Black–Scholes situation (with its flat geometry), the expansion can degenerate at a critical (basket) strike level; a phenomena which seems to have gone unnoticed in the literature to date. Explicit computations relate this to a phase transition from a unique to more than one “most-likely” paths (along which the diffusion, if suitably conditioned, concentrates in the afore-mentioned regimes). This also provides a (quantifiable) understanding of how precisely a presently out-of-money basket option may still end up in-the-money.